Risk Management Essay Example for Free

Risk Management EssayThis is a report from a member of the finance, audit and risk precaution (FARM) Committee. I am currently the assistant manager of the flagship store in Queen Street, Brisbane, and have been given the opportunity to manage the new store in Toowoomba. at that place are some information about the risk manage of the new store. a. Scope MacVille recognizes that risk management is an essential component of good management give and is committed to ensuring the implementation of risk management processes that focus on the proactive management of risks across the organization. MacVille is committed to achieving its vision, business objectives and quality objectives by the proactive management of risk at all levels of the organization. b. Goals MacVille aims to deliver our valued customers the very best cafe-going experience. In three years, the business will have established a movement across the Queensland and NSW, with the opening of additional cafes. c. Analy sis to thoroughly identify risks, we must examine the external environment surrounding an organization.This includes the political, economic, social, legal, and technological factors affecting the business. d. Research As part of their overall strategy in the Australian beverage market, MacVille Pty Ltd have developed a chain of cafes in the Central Business District (CBD) of Brisbane, Queensland and the CBD of Sydney, NSW. The circuit board of directors has made the decision to expand their operations in Queensland with the purchase and re-branding of the existing Hurleys cafe in Toowoomba, 130km west of Brisbane. e. Describe By way of background, MacVille has concur to employ all existing staff on three months probation. The current supervisor James Mansfield, has been offered the position of 2nd in charge and he has accepted. while settlement on the purchase of the business is not for another few weeks, the seller has agreed to grant us full access to the stores operational pr ocesses and store information.I will liaise weekly with the Finance, Audit and Risk Management (FARM) Committee here at head office concerning the marketing, finance and store management functions that you are investigating. I will set up a regular meeting for you. Head office has a report on a similar expansion conducted by the NSW team and I hope you may help me in my research. You may need to review other statistical information and engage specialists to help you with your investigation. The legal firm GoldsmithPartners are advising MacVille on the Hurley cafe acquisition and would be available to help you with legal or any compliance issues. The landlord of the shop in Toowoomba, Ron Langford, is also a local councillor and has offered his assistance in getting established in Toowoomba. He has offered his netmail address for correspondence.

How to Teach Something Essay Example for Free

How to Teach Something EssayDuring the week I taught my father how to play rock band he collar how to play the drums on easy and medium level. It was fun teaching him he caught on easily and he got a really high scores and it was a great experience. I taught this skill to my public address system because its something that my little sister and I like to do and it would be fun to do to comeher. I also taught this skill because my dad and I dont do a lot of things together and this would just be another great thing to do together I chose my dad because he likes learning new things. He also likes have fun So I thought this skill would make him really happy. He also wanted to learn how to play this game but we never had it and then I got it for Christmas. So I asked him if he still wanted to learn how to play it and he said yes. After I asked him he was so excited. It was really nice to see him happy.At the beginning of the lesson, things started off nice we both got a little frus trated at another but after the first game he started getting the hang of it and kind of started to get the concept. He really enjoyed the first game. And we had a lot of laughs. But then we got on the real levels and it started to confuse him a little. But after ten minutes I explained it a little more and he got it. In the middle of the lesson, my father was on a roll and I kept on switching the pains because each song could be a little more difficult. And it was hard for at some points and then we took it a little slower and he started to get the hang of it more and more each time it It was awesome to see how good he was getting.After the lesson was over, my dad learned how to play like an keen On medium and easy level I had such a great time teaching my dad and in the end its deprivation towards great use because now I can do a lot more things with him at hope. In the end of everything seeing my dad really happy with his accomplishment and seeing that he wanted to learn to be with me more was the icing on the cake

Bram Stoker Essay Example for Free

Bram Stoker EssayWithin Dracula, Stoker clearly pays the staminate characters in the bulk as hoagyes, without over emphasising this by giving them inordinately strong powers. They are portrayed as normal human beings with faults and falliblenesses. This give the axe be seen when Van Helsing suffers from hysteria, but despite this still plays an important role in the chase for Dracula, and brings confidence to their quest at desperate times. He describes the Band of Brothers as those , who are willing to peril even our own souls for the safety of whizz we love-for the good of mankind, and for the honour and glory of God. A similar comparison could be made to fictional characters/super heroes in laughables much(prenominal) as Superman. They save the weak and bring down the villain while also leading normal lives. But despite doing this, these super heroes still posses certain vulnerabilities, in the instance of superman, he possesses a weakness to kryptonite. In the same sense, members of the brotherhood have their own weaknesses. Therefore, it is fair to say that there is some presence of a comic book nature in Stokers writings, and the characters in the book represent this.Stoker does well not to make the characteristics of his male heroes all man and butch, like our version of the male hero today. I believe Stokers view of the perfect hero, is one that is physically strong but in touch with his feminine side. I believe such a character to be Van Helsing. At the opening of Jonathan Harkers journal it says, God preserve my sanity, and later Dr. Seward says, What does this all mean? I am blood line to wonder if my long habit of life amongst the insane is beginning to tell upon my own brain.Clearly within the novel, the male characters show signs of tenderness and sensitivity, which would be an instant trait for a women of the time. Despite this, within the Band of Brothers each individual member have their own personal weakness, and this again par allels to that of a super hero in a comic book, (an ideal present day hero), how everyone has their own weaknesses, and often all have a universal weakness, eg. Breathing, in a comic world.In this case, the universal weakness of the Band of the Brothers is the shared love and protective nature over their women/partners. I believe that the men in the novel feeling threatened by Dracula, who is a perfectly attractive, who is physically powerful, and more importantly targeting their women. The men may have felt that this new species may lure their women away(predicate) from them, since it can be seen that his prey needs some sort of willingness or co-operation for him to act.It is not clear in the novel if Jonathan and Mina have consummated their marriage, since Jonathan was in such a bad state at the time of the wedding, yet later in the play he again shows inadequacies in the bedroom department, and can only watch Mina sucking at the chest of Dracula having been paralysed by the mo re dominant figure, Dracula. In the novel, personal and universal strengths and weaknesses are present in the Band of Brothers. Since all the characters concerned are human, there is no distinct line between the two, perhaps rather they represent individuality of characters.imputable to the groups enthusiasm, and their keenness to save their beloved from Dracula, they play directly into the hands of Dracula, and this can be seen in London. This shows that the eager and hunger of the man exploits their weakness of not view correctly, rushing into things and a little gullibility. Mina is left alone at the house a sitting duck for Dracula to attack, a thoughtless accomplishment showing human weakness. However the group show great dedication and understanding to the task in hand as Van Helsing says, Our toil essential be in silence, and our efforts in secret for in this enlightened age

The Continued Growth Of Oreo

The Continued Growth Of oreo cookieOreo quarter be satisfying more that skillful the drive (hunger). Oreo satisfies the nurturing need example, a m opposite having difficulties in feeding her 4 to 6 years old child with some nutrition food, can consider Oreo to feed her child with a sip of milk. Oreo satisfies the imitation need example, kids watching the Oreo ad on TVs while the other kids are enjoying twisting, that cookies licking and dunking the cookie into a glass of milk.This forces the that cookie right away and imitate the same steps. Oreo also adults like to have swordplay once in a while individually or even with their kids.Growth in the Saudi Arabian biscuit market is being compulsive mainly by two factors. Firstly, the marked increase in advertising spend by multinationals such as Nabisco, Master Foods and Danone. Secondly, the popularity of emerging products such as chocolate-coated biscuits and bread substitutes, which have recently been launched in the market. R esearch has shown that biscuits, particularly sweet biscuits, are generally sold at low prices, averaging between SR0.25 and SR2 (US $0.06-US $0.53), or a single-serve pack and enjoy excellent distribution in all outlets.The biscuits sector is highly developed owing to the strength of the local industry in Saudi Arabia, represented by large manufacturers such as United Food Industries. Oreo sales showed a fluctuating result during the past 13 years. When Oreo initially was launched into the market, sales increased to a high extent for about 3 years but then sales decreased for a massive period during 1997 to 2002. Oreo marketing became aware of their loses and immediately went back to action and changed their marketing mix and started to introduce several different new products. This effort resulted with high sales in 2008. Sales were amounted to $4 billion and market share 41%.2.0 Background Oreo3.0 Marketing Mix3.1 ProductThe basic tendency of an oreo cookie has not changed sin ce its introduction two round chocolate cookie wafer joined by sweet vanilla crme filling.3.2 Promotion recognize factors in the continued growth of oreo are the brands award-winning advertising and best-in-class consumer promotions. The brands approach to engaging consumers stays true to its essence creating connections through the classic oreo cookie and milk ritual that brings people together in moments of childlike delight. Whether its twisting, licking, dunking, or a combination of all three, OREO offers everyday moments of connection that other collation brands cannot match.Throughout the years, the brand has brought to life the powerful OREO and milk connection in a number of innovative advertising and promotional channels. One odd example is a panoramic elevator in a shopping mall that dramatizes the traditional OREO and milk connection a picture of an OREO cookie on the elevator dunks into a glass of milk as the elevator descends. Because the OREO and milk moment is cent ral to the brands identity, the advertising tagline was switched from Americas Favorite cookie to milks Favorite Cookie.Another remarkable trait of OREO is the brands unified worldwide marketing strategy. While the communions are translated and adapted for local cultures, the core communication of special moments of childlike delight enabled by the TWIST, LICK, AND DUNK ritual using an OREO and milk is consistent across the globe.With prodigious investment in promotions and mankind relations, the OREO brand has forged strong, lasting connections with consumers. Two signature marketing programs over the last 10 years have been the OREO Global Moments contend and the Double Stuf Racing alliance.In 2008 the brand hosted the OREO Global Moments contest, which asked OREO fans around the world to submit videos depicting a special OREO and Milk Moment. Consumers from eight different countries on four different continents entered videos depicting a wide range of OREO and Milk Moments . From original OREO-themed songs and animated skits to family lessons on OREO dunking techniques, fans showed their passion for the brand with every video submission. The winning video, which depicted a little girl giving her last OREO cookie and a glass of milk to a soldier, was featured on the YouTube homepage for a day.OREO recently energized the popular act of twisting, licking, and dunking by launching the Double Stuff Racing League (DSRL). The DSRL is a different way to enjoy the classic OREO cookie and milk ritual. Its a fun activity that family and friends can enjoy together, racing to recognize who can finish an OREO DOUBLE STUF cookie and glass of milk the fastest. Racers twist their cookie open, lick off all the crme, dunk it in milk, eat the cookie, and drink the glass of milk. The first to finish twisting, licking, and dunking wins. Commercials in recent years have featured numerous celebrity athletes as DSRL athletes, which has driven significant media attention to t his unique campaign and resulted in very positive consumer response. OREO DOUBLE STUF consumption has grown almost 10 percent since the launch of the DSRL in 2008.4In keeping with the changing media landscape, OREO has elevated its strategy by connecting millions of passionate fans to each other (and the brand) through social media. Social media networks such as Facebook, Twitter, and YouTube are ideal tools for a brand like OREO, whose strategy is rooted in connecting family and friends. The brands foundation of connections in combination with the global reach of OREO lends credibleness to the two-way conversations that social media platforms enable on a daily basis. Consumers who like OREO on Facebook also receive brand updates, such as scoop behind-the-scenes content from OREO advertising shoots and new product news. By embracing the new opportunity to connect with consumers, OREO has emerged as a loss leader in social media and currently hosts one of the largest consumer sof twared goods-branded Facebook pages.5Whether its through social media or lick racing contests, OREO is reaching consumers through award-winning advertisements, unique promotions, and public relation campaigns that continue to build the OREO brand equity.3.3 Place3.4 Price4.0 Suggestion Marketing MixProductDevelop new sandwiches which train less calories, less fat, less cocoa powder and less salt.Customer has been complaining about the packaging for the past years. And in order to overcome this issue, the package should be given a new look to attract more customer.The labeling should be clear and nutritional education should be specific and not sibyllic such as May contain milk proteinPriceMaintain their current prices.Maintain a fixed price for all specific products boilersuit the Riyadh market.PlaceOreo should improve their market existence. Example In Hail-Al-Wazarat, his cold stores Bagalas dont have Oreo products.PromotionTheir promotions havent shown much about their organiz ations, TV commercials were for a short time and ever since they havent shown any other particular promotions.They should get in contact with Advertising Agencies for better improved commercials.Their websites provide less information about the whole organization (Internal /External).Aim for different promotional medias as Bill boards, Flyers, etc.5.0 Conclusion

Application of ANN Model

Application of ANN Model4.0. Introduction In this chapter, the results of ANN modelling atomic number 18 discussed through performance parameters, time series plotting and presentation through tables. Before the application of ANN model, statistical analysis of information argon d iodine. It is discussed earlier that the pick oution of appropriate infix combination from the available data is the significant step of the model growing process. Five different types of input variable selection (IVS) techniques were utilized and twenty sextuplet input combinations were prep atomic number 18d based on the IVS techniques which be discussed in arm 4.2. Finally, results of four ANN models are discussed one by one. Firstly, the feed forward neural ne dickensrk model were picked to predict dissolved oxygen of Surma River with all twenty six input combinations and compared with one another. Secondly, the sensitivity analysis was done by changing the value of individual input variable s in a certain percentage. Thirdly, six surmount input combinations were selected based on their performances and rest of the tercet ANN models were utilized with those selected six input combinations. Finally, three best models from each ANN model were picked to compare with each other. The results of statistical data analysis, results of IVS, and results of ANN models will be discussed in this chapter chronologically.4.1. Statistical Analysis of Data Statistical parameters are very important components to understand the variability of a data set which is prerequisite of any modeling works.This study use both(prenominal) basic statistical parameters i.e. minimum, maximum, mean, standard deviation (SD) and coefficient of variability (CV) as defined beneathWhere, N is the total number of samples, is the water musical note data, is the arithmetic mean of that particular data series. The summary of analysis is represented in Table 4.1. tired Deviation (SD) shows the variation in data set, where smaller value represents the data is close together, while larger value denotes wide spreading of data set. The SD of qualified variable ( anatomy) showed relatively small value with respect to other parameters. But sometimes its difficult to understand variability only by SD value. Thus, coefficient of variability (CV) was used in this study for clear understanding of variability. Value of CV for BOD displayed larger variation (75%) that represents huge quantities of untreated wastewater was dumping from various tiptop and nonpoint sources into this river during sample collection. All independent variables (remaining 14 parameters) also showed an enormous variation in CV value (8% to 144%). Such variability world power be happened due to geographical variations in climate and seasonal inuences in the study region. pH showed lowest variation and it may happen due to the buffering capacitance of the river.Table 4. 1 Basic Statistics i.e. minimum (min), maximum (ma x), mean (M), standard deviation (SD) and coefficient of variation (CV) of the measured water quality variables for a period of three years (January, 2010-December, 2012) in Surma River, Sylhet, Bangladesh.VariableMinMaxMeanStd.CV (%)Phosphate (mg/l)0.013.790.530.70132Nitrates (mg/l)0.184.01.531.0569carbonic acid gas (mg/l)8.012732.6620.9964Alkalinity (mg/l)2119559.3430.5651TS (mg/l)55947292.2165.6957TDS (mg/l)10522142.3102.1572pH5.78.256.920.558 starkness (mg/l)452621194336SO4-3 (mg/l)2.033.1010.686.8264BOD (mg/l)0.617.33.792.8675turbidness (NTU)4.1842.6211.847.3762K (mg/l)1.4735.225.455.75106atomic number 30 (mg/l)0.10.520.190.0947Iron (mg/l)0.096.090.480.69144DO (mg/l)1.917.305.402.45454.2 Results of input variable selection It is mentioned earlier that selection of appropriate input variables is one of the most crucial steps in the development of artificial neural interlock models. The selection of high number of input variables may contain some irrelevant, redundant, and noisy variables might be included in the data set (Noori et al., 2010). However, there could be some meaningful variables which may provide significant information. Therefore, reduction of input variables or selection of appropriate input variables is needed. There are so many IVS techniques available much(prenominal) as genetic algorithm, Akaike information criteria, partial mutual information, da Gamma test (GT), cipher analysis, principal component analysis, forward selection, backward selection, single variable regression, variance pompousness factor, Pearsons correlation and so on. In this research, five IVS techniques such as factor analysis, variance pompousness factors, and single variable -ANN, single variable regression, and Pearsons correlation (PC) are utilized to find out appropriate input combinations. The explanation of five selected IVS techniques are explained with the single input combinations.4.2.1. Factor Analysis Factor analysis is a method used to interpret the variance of a large dataset of inter correlated variables with a smaller set of independent variables. At the initial stage, the feasibility study was carried out for the input variables used in this study was done by KMO index and correlation parameter matrix. The data are suitable for factor analysis if KMO index is greater than 0.5 and correlation coefficient is high than 0.3. According to Table 4.1, the data are feasible for factor analysis as the KMO index of all data is found as 0.720 (greater than 0.5) and a ineffectual hypothesis (p=0.000) indicates a significant correlation between the variables. Moreover, from Table 4.2, many of the correlation coefficient (Pearsons) between water quality parameters are greater than 0.3 which also confirms the feasibility of water quality parameters for factor analysis. Table 4.3 describes the eigenvalues for the factor analysis with percent variance and cumulative variance. To find out the number of strong factor, factors with Eigen values 1.5 are considered for ANN model. The scree plot of Eigenvalues are illustrated in Figure 4.2. As observed in Figure 4.1, the Eigen values are in descending order and a drop after 2nd factor confirms the existence of at least two main factors.Table 4.2 Coefficient of KMO and Bartlett test resultsKaiser-Meyer-Olkin Measure of Sampling sufficiency0.720Bartletts Test of SphericityApprox. Chi-Square533.3Df.78.00Sig.0.000Normally, factors having steeper slope are good for analysis whereas factors with low slope have less impact on the analysis. The first two factors cover 64.607% of total variance (Table 4.4). The results of rotated factor loading using Varimax method are tabulated in Table 4.5. The results indicated that the first factor is CO2, Alkalinity and K+, which are the most influential water quality parameter for Surma River. However, hardness, total solid (TS), Fe and total dissolved solid (TDS) are sort out in the twinkling factor.Figure 4.1 Scree plot of eigenvalue s of the Surma RiverTable 4.4 Individual eigenvalues and the cumulative variance of water quality observations in the Surma RiverFactorsEigen Values% VarianceCumulative Variance %13.80029.22729.22721.83914.14743.37431.55311.94755.32141.2079.28664.60750.9977.66872.27560.8026.17278.44770.6454.96583.41280.6394.91488.32690.4423.40091.727100.3312.54894.275110.3042.34196.615Table 4.5 Rotated factors loading for water quality observations in the Surma River using a Vartimax method120.2411.85598.470130.1991.530100.000FactorNO3pHCO2Alk.Hard.TSBODTur.K+FeTDSPO4-301.070.173.791.876.238.273-.178.443.859-.038.079.17902.133-.22-.004.143.702.797.007.141.176.621.787.16503.789-.41-.050-.13.107-.25.152-.526-.010.114-.135.61304.156.737-.199-.057-.283.117.613.287-.079.416-.162.170Phosphate and nitrate are grouped in factor 3 whereas pH, BOD, Fe are grouped in factor 4. In this research, the variables in the first, second, third and fourth factor are named as the M16, M17, M18 and M19 respectively. All the model names along with their respective variables are tabulated in Table 4.6.Table 4.6 results of factor analysis with their respective inputsModel scuttlebutt VariablesFA ICO2+ Alkalinity + K+FA II asperity + TS + Fe + TDSFA IIINO3+ PO4 -3FA IVpH + BOD4.2.2. Variance Inflation FactorThe variance inflation factor (VIF) is a method which measure the multi-collinearity in a regression analysis. In this study, variance inflation factors (VIF) were utilized to find appropriate inputs for the proposed model. The performances of VIF are tabulated in Table 4.7. It is found that, the VIF value is not that much satisfactory for all the variables. However, alkalinity, potassium, total solids and orthophosphate show quite a good result. To prepare some effective input combination for the ANN model, alkalinity was preferred for the model first and all the variables were added one by one. Moreover, only alkalinity is individually not considered in the model as the SV-ANN shows a weak perfor mance for alkalinity (Table 22222). Eleven input combinations were hustling based on the VIF value which is shown in Table 4.8.Table 4.7 Result of variance inflation factor for individual variablesInput CombinationVIFAlkalinity (mg/l)3.180K+ (mg/l)2.847TS (mg/l)2.628PO43- (mg/l)2.070CO2 (mg/l)2.036TDS (mg/l)1.997pH1.898Hardness (mg/l)1.820Turbidity (NTU)1.696Fe (mg/l)1.290BOD (mg/l)1.177NO3 (mg/l)1.175Table 4.8 Results of variance inflation factor (VIF) with their respective inputsModelInput CombinationsVIF-IAlkalinity + K+VIF-IIAlkalinity + K+ TSVIF-IIIAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3VIF-IVAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2VIF-VAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2+TDSVIF-VIAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2+TDS+ pHVIF-VIIAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2+TDS+ pH+ HardVIF-VIIIAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2+TDS+ pH+ Hard+ Tur.VIF-IXAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2+TDS+ pH+ Hard + Tur. + FeVIF-XAlkalinity + K+ TS+ PO4-3+ CO2 +TDS+ pH+ Hard + Tur. + Fe + BODVIF-XIAlkalinity +K+TS+PO4-3+CO2+TDS+pH+Hard+Tur. +Fe + BOD + NO34.2.3. Pearsons correlation coefficientIt is not always true that all the variables should contribute to mock up the value of other parameters. Some variables can have a very good blood with other, some may have weak connection. Pearson correlation is an effective option to understand the relationship with one variable to another. While modelling DO value for the Surma River, it is important to select the variables to have positive relationship with one another. For this reason, a Pearson correlation was prepared which is tabulated in Table 4.3. It is found that there are 4 different types of data combinations which have positive and significant relationship with each other as tabulated in Table 4.9.Table 4.9 Input combinations using Pearson correlationModelInput CombinationsPC IAlkalinity + TDS+ PO4-3+CO2+K+PC IIpH + Hardness + TurbidityPC IIIAlkalinity + Hardness+ TS+CO2+K+PC IVHardness+ TS+ K+ TurbidityPC VHardness+ TS+ Fe +TDSPC VITS + Turbidity + Fe +TDS + K+4.2.4 . SV-ANNThe performance of single variable artificial neural network was also done to find out appropriate input variables for the proposed model. All the individual variables are separately trained, tested and validated. During utilization of SV-ANN, only correlation coefficient (R) is considered to select the appropriate variables. The performances of SV-ANN are tabulated in Table 4.10 for testing, training and validation array. From the analysis, it is found that the individual variables show a weak performance. Only TS and BOD perform conk out comparing with other variables. The SV-ANN with TS shows a correlation coefficient of 0.596, 0.600 and 0.700 for testing, training, and validation phases respectively. Moreover, the respective correlation coefficient (R) for SV-ANN model with BOD are found as 0.578, 0.574 and 0.652 for testing, training and validation. However, turbidity, carbon di oxide, phosphate and nitrate have quite good relations with DO. As individual variables did not provide significant result, the variables are not considered in the ANN model individually. BOD and TS have quite wellTable 4.10 the correlation coefficient (R) for single variable ANN and single variable MLRVariablesPhaseSV-ANNSV-MLRRRPO43- (mg/l)Testing0.4390.115Training0.549 confirmation0.440NO3 (mg/l)Testing0.2110.148Training0.311Validation0.112pHTesting0.2340.087Training0.201Validation0.432CO2 (mg/l)Testing0.3910.057Training0.453Validation0.514Alkalinity (mg/l)Testing0.2220.200Training0.211Validation0.099Hardness (mg/l)Testing0.1390.089Training0.649Validation0.155TS (mg/l)Testing0.5960.199Training0.600Validation0.700BOD (mg/l)Testing0.5780.100Training0.574Validation0.652Turbidity (NTU)Testing0.4310.183Training0.583Validation0.398K+ (mg/l)Testing0.1110.046Training0.543Validation0.219Fe (mg/l)Testing0.2170.002Training0.210Validation0.306TDS (mg/l)Testing0.2220.084Training0.345Validation0.245relations with DO so they are grouped in one model (SV-ANN I) and turbidity, carbon d i oxide, phosphate and nitrate are grouped in another one (SV-ANN II). The input variables utilizing SV-ANN is tabulated in Table 4.11.4.3.5. SV-MLR like the performances of single variable ANN model, SV-MLR with all the input individual variables show weak performance. Moreover, variables like alkalinity, nitrates, total solid and turbidity show good result comparatively. The performances of SV-MLR are tabulated in Table 4.10. It is found that, alkalinity and TS show quite good results comparing with other variables and hence they are grouped together (SV-MLR I). Another model (SV-MLR II) was prepared using all the variables with correlation coefficient more than 0.200. The input variables using SV-MLR model are tabulated in table 4.12.Table 4.11 results of single variable artificial neural network with their respective inputsModelInput VariablesSV-ANN-ITS + BODSV-ANN-IITS + BOD+ PO4-3+ CO2+TurbidityTable 4.12 results of single variable multiple linear regression with their respect ive inputsModelInput VariablesSV- MLR IAlkalinity + TSSV-MLR IIAlkalinity + TS + Turbidity + NO3ModelIVS TypeInput VariablesM1PC IAlkalinity + TDS+ PO4-3+ CO2 +K+M2P

The Crucible, by Arthur Miller Analysis

The melting pot, by Arthur Miller AnalysisArthur Miller, the author of The Crucible was involved in communist activities during the Cold fight in the United States which, considering the historical context brought him to court. This demonization of people who expressed different political views materialized by a witch hunt impregnates the play in the sense that the author compares his situation to the adept of the hundreds of thousands innocent women that were sometimes killed for the interest group of personal satisfaction. This will to label people and call for abomination when someones thoughts and opinions differ from hearty conventions is symbolized in the play with characters analogous slightness Putnam or Danforth who represent Millers personalisation of judgment by both society and individuals.People convicted of witchcraft belonged to the Puritan society which is cognize for its severity and its devotion to Christianity. The environment is thus propitious to all sor ts of judgements. It is for recitation the depicted object when commode Proctor is asked why he does not attend church building every Sunday In the book of records that Mr Parris keeps, I note that you are rarely in the church on Sabbath Day (Miller 53). Hale here makes an precondition that Proctor is not a good Christian since he is rarely at the church. He does not ask whether John is a good beget or if he helps his neighbours, all he cares about is whether he is physically present at the office every week. This emphasizes the importance of the social environment on ones reputation. Nowadays, in liberal countries like France for example, the factors that determine whether a person is good or not skill be his frequentations, his generosity or his involvement in the community. In the Salem of the 17th century, what makes someone a good person is first of all Christianity and the attendance at the Church. Judgement by society depends on the social standards and conventions that create an ideal citizen to which everyone tries to resemble as much as possible. In this precise historical context, this ideal would be a married part with children, all baptized, that would go to the Church every Sunday, respect all of the commandments and work hard on his piece of land without necessarily being rich. Since no one in Salem completely corresponds to this portrait, people judge and accuse each other of not being good Christians. It is in this context propitious to judgement of others that Miller decided to install his plot.During the Cold War, a brat campaign was led through the United States to demonize communism and the USSR. A Manichean falsehood was blossoming showing the ideological war that opposed both superpowers as us versus them, good versus evil. The exact same situation is present in The Crucible when in the testimonies and questions from the judge there is absolutely no space for someone like John Proctor who is neither totally good nor evil. From t he judges specify of view, you are either on God of the scratchs side. People convicted of witchcraft usually confess under torture or because they just dont want to die. The latter case is usually a lie that permits to escape death but involves someone elses name. This is for example the case of Tituba who, under the pressure of Hales questions name calling other women who she says she saw with the Devil Aye, sir, a good Christian (37) and I dont know, sir, but the Devil got him numerous witches (39). This example shows all the dissimulation of people who call themselves good and permit sagacity others, but when the situation gets warm, they are capable of anything that would save them, including buying their freedom with someone elses life. It is the same for Goody Putnam whose role in the play is to make a relation to witchcraft to everything she sees. She wants to convict someone for her babies death and the arrival of Reverend Hale is a good way to prove herself it is not h er fault if she pecknot retort birth to a vigorous baby. She thus tries to get involved in the inquiry and does not hesitate to give evidence of the guilt of whoever is named by Abigail and the girls I knew it Goody Osburn were midwife to me three times. I begged you, Thomas, did I not? I begged him not to call Osburn because I feared her. My babies always shrivelled in her hands (39). Goody Putnam never mentioned Goody Osburns name before Tituba in the play. This quote shows how some people dare judge others and try to hammer them down for personal satisfaction. Those who like Goody Putnam are not suspected of being evil because they are at the Church every Sunday are, at least in this play, the ones whose person is the most blackened. This situation endure be compared to Millers period of time, when people like Senator McCarthy who was far from being exemplar still convicted artists for un-American activities. The author fustigates this attitude by giving the reader the impres sion that Goody Putnam for example or Judge Danforth are simple minded people. Those they convict, like John Proctor or Rebecca prevail are not perfect but are at least honest with themselves until proven otherwise. Throughout the play, we never see either of them spitting on someone else or trying to beat trouble to anyone. This kind of character might represent Arthur Millers ideal someone that does not permit himself to judge others since no one is perfect. John and Rebeccas death at the end of the play might symbolise the authors wish to represent them as martyrs who died for the ideas and moral values they defended and thus bring the sympathy of the reader. The Crucible is a way for the playwright to bring the readers attention on how judgements may be dangerous and end up like a snowball effect. The judges Danforth and Hathorne already had their idea on John Proctor when he came to try to save his wife, which means vigour could have twisted his fate. He was condemned to dea th the minute he entered the court because of Parriss record of attendance at church.The judiciary system is represented as obsolete and totally subjective in The Crucible in the sense that the judges do not show any subjectivity and that people are sent to death with no inference of their affiliation to devilish activities. Considering this play is an allegory of what happened in the United States during the Cold War, Miller explicitly criticizes the trials of all those who were convicted of un-American activities. The reason that took Giles wife to prison for example shows how arbitrary the decisions taken by the judges were. The judgements were not based on the quality and veracity of evidence or testimonies like for Elizabeth. Had they thought more of it for a second, Hathorne and Danforth could have guessed Abigail might have seen Mary put a needle in the poppet and thus created the whole masquerade that followed. Starting from the point that Mr Parris is a minister and that J ohn Proctor is not considered a good Christian, there is ninety percent of chance that Proctor will lose his trial. The characters of Danforth and Hathorne represent nicety as Arthur Miller sees it a group of pretentious old men who believe almost anything as long as it fits to their opinion. When Hale asks Danforth to postpone John and Rebeccas execution, all he can answer is that its impossible since other people before them have been executed. This example shows Danforths incompetence and his lack of arguments which he compensates with a decomposable of superiority. The judges know their decision cannot be questioned and they do not refer to anyone about what they decided so they are the supreme authority of the court and thus, can decide whatever pleases them. John and Giles wish to save their wives with testimonies are vain in the sense that all that appeals to the judges about this list is more names of people who can be convicted of witchcraft. It seems that Hathorne and Da nforth want to give ampleness to their trial and thus to their reputations of good Christian judges that do not show pity for Gods enemies. The hypocrisy of this religious centred society arises in the whole play and through many different characters, like the judges who, instead of praying for their soul and truly follow the whop messages in the Bible, prefer to execute people who are thought of dealing with the Devil but against whom no concrete proof can be held, for the sake of the Lords power. Right before the execution, Rebecca throws a warning at the judges who she knows care more about their glory than following what the Bible says Let you fear nothing Another judgement waits us all. According to the holy book, God will decide who goes to Heaven and Hell on Judgement Day, and Rebecca tells John she is confident that because justness was not made in this world, it will be in the other. She is more afraid of Gods punishment than an execution decided by judges who trample Hi s name. This last sentence brings solemnity and a heroic touch to John and Rebeccas execution. It is thrown like a prophecy, which considering what happened to those who were responsible of their deaths and how history remembers of the Salem witch trials, can be compared to Jacques de Molays curse over Pope Clement V and King Philippe le Bel right before his execution. This shows Millers will to prove that true justice always triumphs, no matter in what form.The Crucible can be considered as a radiography of the American society during the Cold War. Fear and terror promoted by the government disturbed the balance of justice in the United States in the sense that according to Arthur Miller, it had reached the level of freedom women who were accused of witchcraft in the 17th century had. The historical context of the play is a metaphor of what Miller really wishes to criticize, and his choice to postpone his problems to another period of time might be a constraint due to censorship. H owever, the playwright indignation towards judgements, either by society or individuals is highly palpable throughout the story. Miller openly criticizes the hypocrisy of religious people and politics but also everyone who wishes to enhance others problems but not theirs. Whether he treats the theme of judgement through personifications or by pointing out the whole paradox of this attitude, Miller does not hide his disgust for insincerity and mockery.

Workplace Observation Essay -- essays research papers

My paper will talk close to the communication in our division and company wide. The next topic my paper will talk about is culture that exists in our organization for safety in the workplace and home. Then we will move into a process that our company have which address battle in the workplace. Finally, the technology enhancements that we have changed to improve our process, address customers concerns, and automation of some of our service we offer to our customers, which include our meter reading department.CommunicationPECO Energy offers mixed types of communication in our organization. The types of communication can range from emails to voice mails depending on the type of education communicated to the timeliness of the information. We have company wide monthly brush in which senior management communicate to the employees, what went well, what are the opportunities that exist and finally and pertinent information that would relate to company goals and objectives in each area. In our department we have setup a communication specialist. The role of the specialist is to be the liaison between the Call Center and the other departments in our organization who propensity to communicate information to our employees. The specialist withal transforms the information to a more clear, concise tool in which our employees can understand and utilize in the day-to-day assignment or functions. The information for our employees can be communicated in several ways A banner, which roles across the bottom of their computer screen, next is through a written bulletin which is number for identification, topic and what the purpose of the bulletin. We have several other methods that we utilize either daily or monthly. These methods are our newsletter, team meetings, tailboard meetings, which are held at the beginning of our employees shift, and all hands meeting which we discuss diversity, safety and any other topics that are on the agenda. Voice mail is other avenue of co mmunication used company wide to pass along information. The last type of communication would be our intranet site for our employees and our Internet site, (www.exeloncorp.com) for our customers. Both sites forbear pertinent information to either assist our employees with information on HR issues, processes and procedures and other types of information and our customers site address our services we... ...eading can now go through a wireless system to obtain daily readings.SummaryIn review, the information and processes we have in place to communicate with our employees, we are able to deliver the information in a timely, effective and efficient manner. Our culture for safety not only focuses on safety in the workplace still also focus on safety in the home. This offers reminder that we must not only remain focus in the workplace but we also must remain focus outside the workplace. In order to keep safety as a top priority we offer fire drills, catch preparedness and the STAR pr inciple for our employees to reinforce safety at all times. PECO Solve is the method in which we use to address our conflict in the workplace. In observing the various times this process has been utilize it seems to work well for the employee and the company in which it give the employee options to remember they company fosters an open door polity to address all issues with no retaliation to the employee. The technology in our company has moved from the manual and dark ages to a modern way of processing information across the board. Work that was previously done manually can now be performed online.